Financial Markets Daily Report26 gener 2024
The ECB governing council left interest rates unchanged and Lagarde remarked how core inflation is on a downward path and wage growth has stabilized. These remarks pushed investors to assign a 90% probability of an interest rate cut in the ECB’s next meeting in April, and pushed down sovereign bond yields.
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- The ECB governing council left interest rates unchanged and Lagarde remarked how core inflation is on a downward path and wage growth has stabilized. These remarks pushed investors to assign a 90% probability of an interest rate cut in the ECB’s next meeting in April, and pushed down sovereign bond yields.
- In the US, better-than expected 4Q annualized GDP Growth (3.3% vs 2.0% expected, and 4.9% last quarter), fueled investor optimism of a soft-landing in the economy, pushing down treasury yields and boosting the main stock indices to new highs. Markets are still just expecting an interest rate cut in March, albeit with a meagre 50% probability.
- Elsewhere, Oil prices rose on the back of the positive sentiment, and the US dollar edged higher.
- Today, the focus will be US personal income and spending data and US PCE deflator (the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation). In the euro area, German consumer confidence will be released.