The upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester International economy David Martínez Turégano Tue, 07/14/2026 - 08:09
Climate change and international tourist loyalty: new evidence for Spain Spanish economy David Cesar Heymann Eduard Alcobé Garcia Wed, 07/15/2026 - 11:34
Financial Markets Daily Report 16 July 2026 Softer-than-expected US inflation data drove a decline in Treasury yields, while equity markets showed a mixed performance across the Atlantic. US June PPI came in below expectations, following the previous day’s soft CPI, while Fed officials struck a hawkish tone but signalled patience, prompting a repricing of Fed rate expectations, with the probability of an additional hike declining to around 40%. US Treasury yields declined, with a flattening of the curve led by the short end. Climate change Climate change and international tourist loyalty: new evidence for Spain We analyse how tourists react to episodes of extreme heat in order to anticipate risks and opportunities for the tourism sector in the face of climate change, using anonymised internal data from foreign card payments on CaixaBank POS terminals. David Cesar Heymann Eduard Alcobé Garcia 15 July 2026 Financial markets outlook The reopening of Hormuz supports markets despite monetary tightening The provisional agreement between the US and Iran reached mid-month, which extended the military truce and allowed the gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, triggered one of the sharpest drops in oil prices in recent years. This led to a significant decline in… CaixaBank Research 15 July 2026 Opinion The Spanish economy after Hormuz The most visible and immediate effect of the conflict has been on inflation, while the labour market shows a slower response to the shocks. The only area where the conflict has had a positive impact from a macroeconomic perspective is the tourism sector. Oriol Aspachs 15 July 2026 World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy The evolution of the conflict in the Middle East remains key for the global outlook. Following the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the data show a somewhat erratic increase in trade flows, consistent with warnings from various international agencies that normalisation… CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Tourism From the weekday set menu to Saturday night: weekly consumption patterns in Spanish restaurants Pedro Álvarez Ondina Eduard Alcobé Garcia 14 July 2026 Investment Europe needs to channel its high savings into productive investments Rita Sánchez Soliva 14 July 2026 Inflation European inflation: taking stock of the Middle East shock CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Employment The trajectory of employment growth in Spain Zoel Martín Vilató 14 July 2026 European Union The upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester David Martínez Turégano 14 July 2026 Opinion The global economy in search of a new balance José Ramón Díez 13 July 2026 Publications Monthly ReportJuly 2026 | No. 51315 July 2026 Sectorial ReportSectoral Observatory S1 2026 SpainSpain’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook10 July 2026 Sectorial ReportReal Estate. Increasing supply, the great challenge of the Spanish real estate market S1 2026 Sectorial ReportTourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026 PortugalPortugal’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook13 February 2026 Sectorial ReportAgrifood. The Spanish agrifood sector gains momentum 2025 Sectorial ReportManufacturing Industry 2023 Opinion Editorial The global economy in search of a new balance José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Key points of the month The Spanish economy after Hormuz Oriol Aspachs Head of Spanish Economics Recommended Climate change Climate change and international tourist loyalty: new evidence for Spain David Cesar Heymann Eduard Alcobé Garcia 15 July 2026 Financial markets outlook The reopening of Hormuz supports markets despite monetary tightening CaixaBank Research 15 July 2026 Opinion The Spanish economy after Hormuz Oriol Aspachs 15 July 2026 Spain's outlook The Spanish economy at a crossroads: slowdown or recovery? CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Tourism From the weekday set menu to Saturday night: weekly consumption patterns in Spanish restaurants Pedro Álvarez Ondina Eduard Alcobé Garcia 14 July 2026 Investment Europe needs to channel its high savings into productive investments Rita Sánchez Soliva 14 July 2026 Inflation European inflation: taking stock of the Middle East shock CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Employment The trajectory of employment growth in Spain Zoel Martín Vilató 14 July 2026Most readClimate change and international tourist loyalty: new evidence for SpainThe global economy in search of a new balanceEuropean inflation: taking stock of the Middle East shockWarsh’s Fed: from guiding expectations to managing them without commitmentThe Spanish economy after Hormuz NewsletterBeing informed now ismore important than everGet our latest updates Sign in Hot topics Macrofinance Real-Time Economics Podcasts Después de Ormuz: nuevo escenario económico 2026 19/06/2026 Forecasts Financial markets Interest rate (%)Update date 08-07-20262024202520262027 Fed Funds 4.25 3.50 3.50 3.00 ECB Refi 3.24 2.15 2.65 2.15 Macroeconomic GDP (%)Update date 08-07-20262024202520262027 Euro area GDP 0.9 1.5 0.7 1.2 Spain GDP 3.5 2.8 2.1 1.8 US GDP 2.8 2.1 2.1 2.1 Team David del ValSenior economist Alberto GrazianoSenior Data Scientist Beatriz Villafranca SerranoEconomist Imelda EstebanSenior economist Léopold JouvenEconomist Maitane LizarragaAnalyst Adrià Morron SalmeronLead economist Meet us Patricia EstebanCommunication Oriol Carreras BaquerSenior economist Enric FernándezChief Economist David Cesar HeymannEconomist Javier García ArenasSenior economist Eduard Alcobé GarciaData scientist Marina Tombas SuñéData Scientist Meet us Sandra Jódar RosellDirector of Strategic Planning Nuria BustamanteLead economist Zoel Martín VilatóEconomist Ana María PorrasOrganization Oriol AspachsHead of Spanish Economics Jesús Manuel Carrera MorenoResearch assistant María Romero MeléndezEconomista Meet us Mar Bisquert PerlesData scientist José Ramón DíezHead of International Economics & Markets Josep Mestres DomènechLead economist Mireia CrusellsAnalyst David Martínez TuréganoSenior economist Catalina BecuResearch assistant Carolina CruzOrganization Meet us Jesús ViscarriOrganization Judit Montoriol GarrigaLead economist Ana Rincón GarcíaOrganization Javier Ibáñez de Aldecoa FusterEconomist Roser FerrerSenior economist José Antonio Sánchez PalominoData scientist Rita Sánchez SolivaEconomist Meet us Luís Pinheiro de MatosEconomist Pedro Álvarez OndinaEconomist Ariadna Vidal MartínezLead economist Isabela Lara WhiteEconomist Sergio DíazEconomist Meet usPrint
Climate change Climate change and international tourist loyalty: new evidence for Spain We analyse how tourists react to episodes of extreme heat in order to anticipate risks and opportunities for the tourism sector in the face of climate change, using anonymised internal data from foreign card payments on CaixaBank POS terminals. David Cesar Heymann Eduard Alcobé Garcia 15 July 2026
Financial markets outlook The reopening of Hormuz supports markets despite monetary tightening The provisional agreement between the US and Iran reached mid-month, which extended the military truce and allowed the gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, triggered one of the sharpest drops in oil prices in recent years. This led to a significant decline in… CaixaBank Research 15 July 2026
Opinion The Spanish economy after Hormuz The most visible and immediate effect of the conflict has been on inflation, while the labour market shows a slower response to the shocks. The only area where the conflict has had a positive impact from a macroeconomic perspective is the tourism sector. Oriol Aspachs 15 July 2026
World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy The evolution of the conflict in the Middle East remains key for the global outlook. Following the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the data show a somewhat erratic increase in trade flows, consistent with warnings from various international agencies that normalisation… CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026
Tourism From the weekday set menu to Saturday night: weekly consumption patterns in Spanish restaurants Pedro Álvarez Ondina Eduard Alcobé Garcia 14 July 2026
Investment Europe needs to channel its high savings into productive investments Rita Sánchez Soliva 14 July 2026
European Union The upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester David Martínez Turégano 14 July 2026
Sectorial ReportReal Estate. Increasing supply, the great challenge of the Spanish real estate market S1 2026
Sectorial ReportTourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026
The global economy in search of a new balance José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets
Climate change Climate change and international tourist loyalty: new evidence for Spain David Cesar Heymann Eduard Alcobé Garcia 15 July 2026
Financial markets outlook The reopening of Hormuz supports markets despite monetary tightening CaixaBank Research 15 July 2026
Spain's outlook The Spanish economy at a crossroads: slowdown or recovery? CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026
World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026
Tourism From the weekday set menu to Saturday night: weekly consumption patterns in Spanish restaurants Pedro Álvarez Ondina Eduard Alcobé Garcia 14 July 2026
Investment Europe needs to channel its high savings into productive investments Rita Sánchez Soliva 14 July 2026