Spain’s external sector drives the post-pandemic expansion Spanish economy Sergio Díaz Catalina BecuThu, 09/10/2026 - 13:00
Financial Markets Daily Report 10 September 2026 A renewed surge in energy prices, which sent Brent crude oil above $100 and TTF natural gas close to €80, set a risk-off tone across markets. Inflation expectations rose, as did expectations of central bank tightening, with markets pricing around 85 bps of ECB tightening over the next 12 months (starting with 25 bps today), and almost 70 bps for the Fed. European Central Bank (ECB) The ECB’s path to a new normal Behind the recent upheavals and volatility, the euro area and the ECB are making progress towards a new normal for the financial environment. In recent years, the ECB has reduced its footprint in the market by returning to conventional monetary policy and withdrawing… CaixaBank Research 10 September 2026 Opinion We need to talk about interest rates In a summer focused on the effects of climate change – with events like El Niño, which could disrupt global activity in the autumn – and with political risk back where it stood before the signing of the US-Iran deal in June, an old acquaintance has once again come… José Ramón Díez 10 September 2026 Foreign sector Spain’s external sector drives the post-pandemic expansion Spanish exports have emerged as one of the drivers of the country’s economic growth in the current expansionary phase following the pandemic in 2020. Exports now account for 36.0% of GDP, exceeding pre-pandemic levels (34.7% in 2019) and, even more so, those of 2007… Sergio Díaz Catalina Becu10 September 2026 European Union Ireland, the country that skews Europe’s statistics When Eurostat publishes GDP growth for the euro area, Germany, France, Italy and Spain are the main drivers of the final result. However, in recent years, Ireland has been responsible for the largest revisions and distortions of the euro area’s figures, both upwards and… Rita Sánchez Soliva 10 September 2026 International Republic of South Africa 02 September 2026 International Arab Republic of Egypt 02 September 2026 Climate change Climate change and international tourist loyalty: new evidence for Spain David Cesar Heymann Eduard Alcobé Garcia 15 July 2026 Financial markets outlook The reopening of Hormuz supports markets despite monetary tightening CaixaBank Research 15 July 2026 Opinion The Spanish economy after Hormuz Oriol Aspachs 15 July 2026 World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Publications SpainSpain’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook10 September 2026 PortugalPortugal’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook10 September 2026 Monthly ReportJuly 2026 | No. 51315 July 2026 Sectorial ReportSectoral Observatory S1 2026 Sectorial ReportReal Estate. Increasing supply, the great challenge of the Spanish real estate market S1 2026 Sectorial ReportTourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026 Sectorial ReportAgrifood. The Spanish agrifood sector gains momentum 2025 Sectorial ReportManufacturing Industry 2023 Opinion Editorial The global economy in search of a new balance José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Key points of the month We need to talk about interest rates José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Recommended European Central Bank (ECB) The ECB’s path to a new normal CaixaBank Research 10 September 2026 Opinion We need to talk about interest rates José Ramón Díez 10 September 2026 Foreign sector Spain’s external sector drives the post-pandemic expansion Sergio Díaz Catalina Becu 10 September 2026 European Union Ireland, the country that skews Europe’s statistics Rita Sánchez Soliva 10 September 2026 Climate change Climate change and international tourist loyalty: new evidence for Spain David Cesar Heymann Eduard Alcobé Garcia 15 July 2026 Financial markets outlook The reopening of Hormuz supports markets despite monetary tightening CaixaBank Research 15 July 2026 Opinion The Spanish economy after Hormuz Oriol Aspachs 15 July 2026 Spain's outlook The Spanish economy at a crossroads: slowdown or recovery? CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026Most readGlobal value chains: yesterday, today and tomorrowSpain’s external sector drives the post-pandemic expansionThe ECB’s path to a new normalWe need to talk about interest ratesIreland, the country that skews Europe’s statistics NewsletterBeing informed now ismore important than everGet our latest updates Sign in Hot topics Inequality & inclusive growth Reactivation or deceleration? Podcasts Despacito y buena letra: los grandes temas del curso económico 23/07/2026 Forecasts Financial markets Interest rate (%)Update date 07-09-20262024202520262027 Fed Funds 4.25 3.50 3.50 3.00 ECB Refi 3.24 2.15 2.40 2.15 Macroeconomic GDP (%)Update date 07-09-20262024202520262027 Euro area GDP 1.0 1.3 0.5 1.3 Spain GDP 3.5 2.8 2.4 2.0 US GDP 2.8 2.1 2.3 2.0 Team Sergio DíazEconomist Léopold JouvenEconomist Marina Tombas SuñéData Scientist Oriol Carreras BaquerSenior economist Ana María PorrasOrganization David del ValSenior economist Judit Montoriol GarrigaLead economist Meet us María Romero MeléndezEconomista Ariadna Vidal MartínezLead economist Rita Sánchez SolivaEconomist Enric FernándezChief Economist Patricia EstebanCommunication Mar Bisquert PerlesData scientist Pedro Álvarez OndinaEconomist Meet us David Cesar HeymannEconomist Zoel Martín VilatóEconomist Oriol AspachsHead of Spanish Economics Javier García ArenasSenior economist Adrià Morron SalmeronLead economist Ana Rincón GarcíaOrganization Beatriz Villafranca SerranoEconomist Meet us Carolina CruzOrganization Luís Pinheiro de MatosEconomist Nuria BustamanteLead economist Alberto GrazianoSenior Data Scientist José Ramón DíezHead of International Economics & Markets Mireia CrusellsAnalyst José Antonio Sánchez PalominoData scientist Meet us Josep Mestres DomènechLead economist Jesús ViscarriOrganization David Martínez TuréganoSenior economist Sandra Jódar RosellDirector of Strategic Planning Maitane LizarragaAnalyst Javier Ibáñez de Aldecoa FusterEconomist Eduard Alcobé GarciaData scientist Meet us Roser FerrerSenior economist Isabela Lara WhiteEconomist Imelda EstebanSenior economist Meet usPrint
European Central Bank (ECB) The ECB’s path to a new normal Behind the recent upheavals and volatility, the euro area and the ECB are making progress towards a new normal for the financial environment. In recent years, the ECB has reduced its footprint in the market by returning to conventional monetary policy and withdrawing… CaixaBank Research 10 September 2026
Opinion We need to talk about interest rates In a summer focused on the effects of climate change – with events like El Niño, which could disrupt global activity in the autumn – and with political risk back where it stood before the signing of the US-Iran deal in June, an old acquaintance has once again come… José Ramón Díez 10 September 2026
Foreign sector Spain’s external sector drives the post-pandemic expansion Spanish exports have emerged as one of the drivers of the country’s economic growth in the current expansionary phase following the pandemic in 2020. Exports now account for 36.0% of GDP, exceeding pre-pandemic levels (34.7% in 2019) and, even more so, those of 2007… Sergio Díaz Catalina Becu10 September 2026
European Union Ireland, the country that skews Europe’s statistics When Eurostat publishes GDP growth for the euro area, Germany, France, Italy and Spain are the main drivers of the final result. However, in recent years, Ireland has been responsible for the largest revisions and distortions of the euro area’s figures, both upwards and… Rita Sánchez Soliva 10 September 2026
Climate change Climate change and international tourist loyalty: new evidence for Spain David Cesar Heymann Eduard Alcobé Garcia 15 July 2026
Financial markets outlook The reopening of Hormuz supports markets despite monetary tightening CaixaBank Research 15 July 2026
World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026
Sectorial ReportReal Estate. Increasing supply, the great challenge of the Spanish real estate market S1 2026
Sectorial ReportTourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026
The global economy in search of a new balance José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets
Foreign sector Spain’s external sector drives the post-pandemic expansion Sergio Díaz Catalina Becu 10 September 2026
European Union Ireland, the country that skews Europe’s statistics Rita Sánchez Soliva 10 September 2026
Climate change Climate change and international tourist loyalty: new evidence for Spain David Cesar Heymann Eduard Alcobé Garcia 15 July 2026
Financial markets outlook The reopening of Hormuz supports markets despite monetary tightening CaixaBank Research 15 July 2026
Spain's outlook The Spanish economy at a crossroads: slowdown or recovery? CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026
World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026