Catalonia

Resumen

The Catalan economy is highly buoyant. At CaixaBank Research, we estimate that GDP grew by 3.3% in 2024 (3.2% in Spain). This was thanks to the upturn in employment and a buoyant tourism industry, against a backdrop of strong population growth. It is one of the regions with the fastest-growing populations in recent years: 1.3% in 2024 and 5.2% since 2019. Industry and agriculture also recovered strongly after the sharp downturn of 2022-2023, and construction performed well. 

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8,120,000
inhabitants (2024)
€35,325
GDP per capita (2023)
18.8%
of Spanish GDP (2023)
2.6%
anticipated growth in GDP (2025)
Regional economic structure and position
  • Catalonia is the region with the second-highest GDP, after Madrid, accounting for 18.8% of Spain's total GDP.
  • With a population of 8.1 million inhabitants (16.5% of the Spanish population), it is also the second-largest region in demographic terms, after Andalusia.
  • GDP per capita stands at 35,325 euros, the fourth highest in the country and 14.1% above the average.
  • Catalonia has a highly diversified production sector, although it is most notable for the relative importance of its manufacturing industry (15.5% of GDP vs. 11.9% on average across Spain); in contrast, agriculture only accounts for 0.9% (vs. 2.7%).
  • It is highly export-oriented, with goods exports accounting for 35.7% of GDP, 10 points above the average, and it is the region with the highest volume of exports: 100.133 billion euros in 2024, 26.0% of the total. The leading export sectors are chemical products (30.5% of the total), above all medicine, motor vehicle industry products (14.5%) and textile products (5.9%): the region accounts for almost 49% of Spanish exports of chemical products, 40% of its meat and around 30% of its products from the motor vehicle industry, textile products and industrial machinery. Moreover, it is the region with the highest revenues from international tourism, standing at almost 20 billion euros in 2024 (21% of the total).

Table of structural indicators

 

   

1993

2003

2013

 

2023

GDP per capita

Euros

 

12,196

22,841

25,928

 

35,325

100 = Spain

 

121.2

120.1

117.8

 

114.1

Population

Thousands of inhabitants

 

6,136

6,713

7,433

 

8,012

Average annual growth over the decade (%)

 

0.2

0.9

1.0

 

0.8

% of the total in Spain

 

15.6

15.8

16.0

 

16.5

% of population > 65 years old

 

15.1

16.8

17.9

 

19.5

Exports of goods as a proportion of GDP

%

 

24.6

30.5

 

35.7

 

 
Macroeconomic situation

The Catalan economy is highly buoyant. At CaixaBank Research, we estimate that GDP grew by 3.3% in 2024 (3.2% in Spain). This was thanks to the upturn in employment and a buoyant tourism industry, against a backdrop of strong population growth. It is one of the regions with the fastest-growing populations in recent years: 1.3% in 2024 and 5.2% since 2019. Industry and agriculture also recovered strongly after the sharp downturn of 2022-2023, and construction performed well.

Catalonia will continue to grow at an above-average rate in 2025, albeit at a subdued pace: we forecast GDP growth of 2.6% (2.5% in Spain). We expect investment to gather pace, due to improving financing conditions and the further disbursement of NGEU funds. Therefore, thanks to its highly diversified production sector, the region is better placed to take advantage of these funds.

GDP

Last actualization: 27 March 2025 - 12:55

Much like the rest of the country, Catalonia's labour market is performing extremely well, with the number of registered workers affiliated to Social Security rising by 2.4% in 2024, the same as in Spain, while in February 2025 it rose by 2.1% year-on-year (vs. 2.4%); over the last year, employment in professional activities, healthcare and transport has risen sharply. It has the third lowest unemployment rate in the country, 7.9% in Q4 2024
(vs. 10.6%).

Consumption is also buoyant, thanks to easing inflation, rising job creation and the upturn in wages. The volume of sales of retail and consumer goods rose by 2.2% in 2024 (2.1% in Spain), although it slowed down at the start of 2025 (1.8% year-on-year in January vs. 2.3%). However, after a modest increase in 2024 (2.6%), passenger car registrations surged in January-February 2025 (8.4% year-on-year).

Industrial production had been performing poorly in recent years, amid falling orders and sluggish foreign demand. After virtually stagnating in 2022-2023, last year the IPI recorded significant growth of 3.4%, the second highest of all regions (0.7% countrywide); however, 2025 has started on a weaker footing (–1.3% year-on-year in January vs. –1.0%).

Exports of goods fared poorly in 2024, hampered by sluggish European demand, resulting in a decline of 0.5% (0.2% in Spain). There was a sharp fall in sales of energy products – hit by lower prices –, industrial machinery and products from the motor vehicle industry, whereas sales of food and chemical products rose; in January 2025, they show a marked improvement: 3.3% year-on-year (vs. –1.2%). Tourism continues to make steady progress. Overnight stays rose by 3.6% in 2024 and 2.3% year-on-year in January, slightly below the average (4.4% and 3.9%), while the number of foreign visitors continued to break records, growing by 9.7% in 2024 (10.1% in Spain) and 12.4% year-on-year in January 2025 (vs. 6.1%).

Retail trade

Last actualization: 27 March 2025 - 12:55

Exports of goods

Last actualization: 27 March 2025 - 12:55

Table of indicators

 

 

2014-2019 average

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

Latest figure

Activity and prices

Real GDP*
(% year-on-year change)

3.0

–11.9

7.2

6.5

2.5

3.3

 

2024

2.8

–10.9

6.7

6.2

2.7

3.2

 

Retail trade
(% cumulative annual change)

1.4

–8.2

4.2

1.1

2.7

2.2

1.8

January–25

2.3

–5.2

3.6

0.8

2.9

2.1

2.3

Industrial production index
(% cumulative annual change)

1.8

–9.3

8.3

0.6

–0.6

3.4

–1.3

January–25

1.8

–9.2

7.1

2.3

–1.6

0.7

–1.0

Service activity index
(% cumulative annual change)

4.6

–15.6

20.4

16.5

2.7

3.3

––

December–24

5.1

–15.6

22.0

18.3

2.2

3.0

––

Consumer price index
(% year-on-year change)

1.0

–0.4

2.9

8.0

3.4

2.8

3.1

February-25

0.7

–0.3

3.1

8.4

3.5

2.8

3.0

                   

Labour market

Registered workers affiliated to Social Security
(% year-on-year change)

3.4

–2.4

2.4

3.9

2.8

2.4

2.1

February-25

3.2

–2.1

2.5

3.9

2.7

2.4

2.4

Registered workers affiliated to Social Security not affected by furlough
(% year-on-year change)

3.4

–10.6

7.9

7.8

3.6

2.6

2.3

February-25

3.2

–9.2

7.3

7.3

3.4

2.7

2.6

Unemployment rate
(% working population)

15.1

12.6

11.7

10.0

9.3

8.9

––

Q4 2024

18.8

15.5

14.9

13.0

12.2

11.3

––

Unemployment rate for under 25s
(% working population < 25)

35.2

34.0

28.9

24.4

22.4

22.0

––

Q4 2024

42.5

38.3

44.5

24.4

28.8

24.1

––

                   

Public sector

Public deficit
(% of GDP)

–1.3

–0.5

–0.4

–1.4

–1.4

0.3

––

Q3 2024

–0.9

–0.2

0.0

–1.1

–0.9

0.4

––

Autonomous Communities public debt
(% of GDP)

34.0

37.0

35.1

32.5

30.3

29.9

––

Q3 2024

23.9

26.9

25.3

23.1

21.7

21.3

––

                   

Real estate market

Housing prices
(% year-on-year change)

7.1

2.0

3.5

7.1

3.5

7.4

––

Q4 2024

5.3

2.1

3.7

7.4

4.0

8.4

––

Housing sales
(% cumulative annual change)

11.1

–18.7

35.3

15.1

–10.5

8.4

6.7

January–25

9.7

–16.9

34.8

14.8

–10.2

10.0

11.0

                   

Foreign sector and tourism

Exports of goods
(% cumulative annual change)

4.2

–10.0

21.1

17.9

6.1

–0.5

3.3

January–25

3.9

–9.4

20.1

22.9

–1.4

0.2

–1.2

Tourist overnight stays
(% cumulative annual change)

3.0

–71.2

85.3

78.2

7.2

3.6

2.3

January–25

3.0

–69.2

78.3

73.3

7.1

4.4

3.9

Note: *The 2024 GDP figure for Autonomous Communities is an estimate made by CaixaBank Research.

Source: CaixaBank Research, based on data from the National Statistics Institute (INE), the Bank of Spain, the Ministry of Labour, Migration and Social Security (MITRAMISS), the Ministry of Finance and DataComex.

Regional comparison

Below we show a series of charts comparing the main indicators for the various regions.

Regional comparison

Last actualization: 14 November 2024 - 08:30

 

 

 

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