Madrid AC
Madrid’s economy is a fundamental driver of the Spanish economy, showing significant dynamism in recent years, surpassed only by the island regions. At CaixaBank Research, we estimate that Madrid’s GDP grew by 3.4% in 2024 (3.2% in Spain) and according to our forecasts in 2025 Madrid’s GDP will grow by 2.7% (2.5% for the country as a whole).
- The Madrid Autonomous Community has the largest GDP. Furthermore, its higher relative growth has allowed the region to gain importance and it has increased its share of Spanish GDP to 19.6%, 2 points more than in 2000.
- The region has exhibited considerable demographic dynamism in recent decades, thanks to migration flows, both from abroad and from other Autonomous Communities. With a population of 7.1 million inhabitants, 14.4 % of the total, it is the third most highly populated region.
- GDP per capita stands at 42,198 euros, the highest in the country and 36.3% above the average. In recent years, its relative position has followed a slight downward trend, due to strong population growth.
- The region’s sectoral composition is notable for the higher relative importance of professional and industry-related services (43.7% vs 29.7% of the Spanish average), whereas agricultural activities (0.1% vs 2.7%) and manufacturing (5.6% vs 11.9%) have a much smaller share.
- In line with the limited role of manufacturing, it is a less export-oriented region, with exports of goods accounting for 17.6% of GDP (25.6% in Spain); despite this, it is the region with the second-highest volume of exports, totalling 48.828 billion euros in 2024 (12.7 % of all exports). The main export sectors are chemical products (24.3% of the total), especially pharmaceuticals, oil-based energy products (11.4%) and electricity, which are recorded by the companies, and transport equipment (11.3%). Madrid exports half of all of Spain’s engines, 35% of its office and telecommunications equipment and 32% of its transport equipment.
Table of structural indicators
|
1993 |
2003 |
2013 |
2023 |
|||
GDP per capita |
Euros |
13,157 |
24,973 |
30,264 |
42,198 |
||
100 = Spain |
130.8 |
131.3 |
137.4 |
136.3 |
|||
Population |
Thousands of inhabitants |
5,074 |
5,767 |
6,373 |
7,009 |
||
Average annual growth over the decade (%) |
0.6 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
|||
% of total in Spain |
12.9 |
13.6 |
13.7 |
14.4 |
|||
% of population > 65 years old |
12.6 |
14.2 |
16.5 |
18.6 |
|||
Exports of goods as a proportion of GDP |
% |
… |
10.4 |
15.9 |
17.6 |
||
|
Madrid’s economy is a fundamental driver of the Spanish economy, showing significant dynamism in recent years, surpassed only by the island regions. At CaixaBank Research, we estimate that Madrid’s GDP grew by 3.4% in 2024 (3.2% in Spain). Economic activity was boosted by market services (particularly those associated with trade), robust employment figures, and the rise in foreign (urban) tourism.
According to our forecasts, Madrid’s GDP will grow by 2.7% in 2025 (2.5% for the country as a whole). The region will benefit from a favourable context, characterised by easing prices and interest rates, solid household finances, a dynamic labour market and an expansionary fiscal policy at regional level. Furthermore, due to its strong focus on high value-added business services, Madrid is well positioned to capitalise on the boost in investment being provided by European funds. On the less positive side, high global uncertainty could affect activity.
It is one of the most buoyant regions in terms of employment. Social Security affiliation increased by 3.5% (2.4% in Spain) in 2024, while this year the growth rate continues to exceed the average (2.9% year-on-year increase in February vs 2.4%): job creation in transportation, professional activities and public administration has been particularly notable over the last year. In terms of the unemployment rate, Q4 2024 recorded 8.6%, 2 points below the average.
Consumption performed weakly in 2024, in contrast to the excellent figures of the previous year. After recording the highest growth of all mainland regions in 2023, retail trade (in volume) fell by 0.5% in 2024, compared to national growth of 2.1%. In any event, it is the region that has exceeded its pre-pandemic figures the most, by 11.9% (4.1% in Spain).
In the case of industry, the positive trend from the previous year did not persist in 2024, as industrial production declined by 0.7%, in contrast to the 0.7% increase in Spain. Except for capital goods, the decline was widespread across sectors and particularly notable in the consumer durables sector.
In recent years, exports of goods have exhibited some weakness, affected by the decline in sales of pharmaceutical products (attributable to the normalisation of vaccine exports following the pandemic) and energy products (the exceptional electricity sales of 2022, driven by the shutdown of French nuclear facilities and the drought in Portugal, were not repeated). Exports therefore contracted by 5.4% in 2024 (0.2% in Spain) for the second consecutive year, as the boost from capital goods was largely offset by the decline in energy and chemical products.
In terms of tourism, Madrid is performing extremely well: over 8.8 million foreign tourists arrived in the region in 2024, spending 16.117 billion euros, representing an annual year-on-year growth of 12.5% and 20.9%, respectively, which is higher than the national total (10.1% and 16.1%).
Table of indicators
|
2014-2019 average |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
Latest figure |
|
Activity and prices |
Real GDP * |
3.6 |
–10.2 |
6.4 |
8.1 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
2024 |
|
2.8 |
–10.9 |
6.7 |
6.2 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
||||
Retail trade |
4.1 |
–2.6 |
7.3 |
2.3 |
5.2 |
–0.5 |
–– |
December–24 |
|
2.3 |
–5.2 |
3.6 |
0.8 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
–– |
|||
Industrial production index |
2.4 |
–6.6 |
5.4 |
6.9 |
2.2 |
–0.7 |
–– |
December–24 |
|
1.8 |
–9.2 |
7.1 |
2.3 |
–1.6 |
0.7 |
–– |
|||
Service activity index |
6.1 |
–18.3 |
20.3 |
22.8 |
–1.9 |
0.7 |
–– |
December–24 |
|
5.1 |
–15.6 |
22.0 |
18.3 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
–– |
|||
Consumer price index |
0.7 |
–0.4 |
2.7 |
7.5 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
January–25 |
|
0.7 |
–0.3 |
3.1 |
8.4 |
3.5 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
|||
Labour market |
Registered workers affiliated to Social Security |
3.7 |
–1.3 |
2.7 |
4.7 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
2.9 |
February-25 |
3.2 |
–2.1 |
2.5 |
3.9 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
|||
Registered workers affiliated to Social Security not affected by furlough |
3.7 |
–8.5 |
7.9 |
7.6 |
4.6 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
February-25 |
|
3.2 |
–9.2 |
7.3 |
7.3 |
3.4 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
|||
Unemployment rate |
14.6 |
12.5 |
11.7 |
11.2 |
10.0 |
9.0 |
–– |
Q4 2024 |
|
18.8 |
15.5 |
14.9 |
13.0 |
12.2 |
11.3 |
–– |
|||
Unemployment rate for under 25s |
38.0 |
31.8 |
29.5 |
27.8 |
27.3 |
20.3 |
–– |
Q4 2024 |
|
42.5 |
38.3 |
44.5 |
24.4 |
28.8 |
24.1 |
–– |
|||
Public sector |
Public deficit |
–0.7 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
–0.8 |
–0.7 |
0.2 |
–– |
Q3 2024 |
–0.9 |
–0.2 |
0.0 |
–1.1 |
–0.9 |
0.4 |
–– |
|||
Autonomous Communities public debt |
14.0 |
15.7 |
14.3 |
13.0 |
12.3 |
12.1 |
–– |
Q3 2024 |
|
23.9 |
26.9 |
25.3 |
23.1 |
21.7 |
21.3 |
–– |
|||
Real estate market |
Housing prices |
8.4 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
6.8 |
3.9 |
7.2 |
–– |
Q3 2024 |
5.3 |
2.1 |
3.7 |
7.4 |
4.0 |
8.2 |
–– |
|||
Housing sales |
10.0 |
–18.5 |
38.3 |
3.2 |
–16.2 |
10.4 |
–– |
December–24 |
|
9.7 |
–16.9 |
34.8 |
14.8 |
–10.2 |
10.0 |
–– |
|||
Foreign sector and tourism |
Exports of goods |
2.4 |
–5.5 |
35.3 |
48.2 |
–12.7 |
–5.4 |
–– |
December–24 |
3.9 |
–9.4 |
20.1 |
22.9 |
–1.4 |
0.2 |
–– |
|||
Tourist overnight stays |
5.7 |
–68.6 |
68.5 |
68.7 |
12.7 |
6.5 |
10.1 |
January–25 |
|
3.0 |
–69.2 |
78.3 |
73.3 |
7.1 |
4.4 |
3.9 |
Note: *The 2024 GDP figure for Autonomous Communities is an estimate made by CaixaBank Research.
Source: CaixaBank Research, based on data from the National Statistics Institute (INE), the Bank of Spain, the Ministry of Labour, Migration and Social Security (MITRAMISS), the Ministry of Finance and DataComex.
Below we show a series of charts comparing the main indicators for the various regions.