Madrid AC

Resumen

Madrid´s economy has remained highly buoyant in recent years, only surpassed by the island regions, mainly thanks to the momentum of market services and strong employment, which, coupled with the upturn in foreign (city) tourism, has boosted consumer spending. 

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7,000,000
inhabitants (2023)
€38,435
GDP per capita (2022)
19.4%
of Spanish GDP (2022)
2.9%
anticipated growth in GDP (2024)
Regional economic structure and position
  • The Madrid Autonomous Community has the largest GDP. Furthermore, its higher relative growth has allowed the region to gain importance and increased its share of Spanish GDP to 19.4% from 17.7% in 2000.
  • The region has had great demographic dynamism in recent decades, thanks to migration flows both from abroad and from other Autonomous Communities. With 7 million inhabitants, 14.3% of the total population, it is the third most highly populated region.
  • GDP per capita stands at 38,435 euros, the highest in the country and 36.5% above the average. In recent years, its relative position has followed a slight downward trend, due to strong population growth.
  • In terms of sectoral composition, the region is notable for the relative importance of professional and industry-related services (40.5% vs. 28.5% on average in Spain), whereas agricultural activities (0.1% vs. 2.6%) and manufacturing (6.3% vs. 12.5%).
  • Reflecting the reduced importance of manufactured goods, this region is not a major exporter, with exports of goods accounting for 22.6% of GDP (28.9% in Spain). Despite this, it is the region with the second-highest volume of exports, totalling 51.592 billion euros in 2023 (12.4% of all exports). The main export sectors are chemical products (27.5% of the total), above all pharmaceuticals; energy products (13.7%) oil products and electricity which are recorded by the companies; and transport equipment (9.9%). Madrid exports 54% of all of Spain's engines, 36% of its office and  telecommunications equipment and 22% of its chemical products.

Table of structural indicators

 

   

1992

2002

2012

 

2022

GDP per capita

Euros

 

12,753

24,023

30,358

 

38,435

100 = Spain

 

130.3

132.8

137.7

 

136.5

Population

Thousands of inhabitants

 

5,030

5,639

6,412

 

6,872

Average annual growth over the decade (%)

 

0.5

1.1

1.3

 

0.7

% of the total in Spain

 

12.8

13.5

13.7

 

14.3

% of population > 65 years old

 

12.3

14.4

15.9

 

18.4

Exports of goods as a proportion of GDP

%

 

10.8

14.3

 

22.6

 

 
Macroeconomic situation

Madrid´s economy has remained highly buoyant in recent years, only surpassed by the island regions, mainly thanks to the momentum of market services and strong employment, which, coupled with the upturn in foreign (city) tourism, has boosted consumer spending.


In 2024 and 2025, Madrid will continue to be a key driver of the Spanish economy, with GDP growth of 2.9% and 2.5%, respectively (2.8% and 2.3% for the country as a whole). The region will benefit from the improving inflation picture, falling interest rates, a buoyant labour market and an expansionary fiscal policy in the region. Furthermore, due to its strong focus on high value-added business services, Madrid is well positioned to capitalise on the boost in investment being provided by European funds.

GDP

Last actualization: 22 October 2024 - 14:36

It has been among the most buoyant regions in terms of employment. In 2023, the number of registered workers affiliated to Social Security rose by 3.9% (2.7% in Spain), while in 2024 it continues to grow at a far faster-than-average rate (3.0% year-on-year in September vs 2.3%): job creation in education, professional activities and general government has been outstanding over the last year. As for the unemployment rate, in Q2 2024 it stood at 8.5%, far below the Spanish average (11.3%).

Consumption has been somewhat weak in recent months, in stark contrast to last year´s strong figures. Thus, after recording the highest growth of all mainland regions in 2023 (5.2% vs. 2.9% in Spain), the volume of retail trade sales fell by 1.9% year-on-year in January-August this year, whereas it grew by 1.6% across the country as a whole. In any event, it is the region that has exceeded its pre-pandemic figures the most, by 11.8% (3.7% in Spain).

Industrial production recorded some of the best figures in the country in 2023 rising by 2.2% whereas it fell by 1.4% across Spain. However, in the first eight months of 2024, it recorded a year-on-year decline of 1.4% (vs. 0.4% in Spain).

Exports of goods are performing somewhat sluggishly, hit by the sharp decline in pharmaceuticals (due to vaccine exports returning to normal after the pandemic) and energy products (the extraordinary sales of electricity in 2022 were not repeated, having benefited from shutdowns in the French nuclear fleet and the drought in Portugal). Thus, exports shrank by 12.7% in 2023 (–1.4% in Spain) and by a further 12.7% year-on-year in January-July this year (vs. –0.9%). However, in recent months there has been a marked recovery, stronger than the national average. Tourism is performing extremely well: in January-August, 5.8 million foreign tourists visited the region, spending nearly 10.7 billion euros, representing year-on-year growth of 17.0% and 25.8%, respectively, above the national average (11.2% and 17.6%).

Registered workers affiliated to Social Security

Last actualization: 22 October 2024 - 14:38

Exports of goods

Last actualization: 22 October 2024 - 11:54

Table of indicators

 

 

2008-2013 average

2014-2019 average

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

Latest figure

Activity and prices

Real GDP*
(% year-on-year change)

–0.9

3.6

–10.4

6.0

7.2

2.9

 

2023

–1.7

2.8

–10.9

6.7

6.2

2.7

 

Retail trade
(% cumulative annual change)

-4.8

4.1

–2.6

7.3

2.3

5.2

–1.9

August-24

–5.2

2.3

–5.2

3.6

0.8

2.9

1.6

Industrial production index
(% cumulative annual change)

–7.3

2.4

–6.6

5.4

6.9

2.2

–1.4

August-24

–5.3

1.8

–9.2

7.1

2.5

–1.4

0.4

Service activity index
(% cumulative annual change)

–5.2

6.1

–18.3

20.3

22.8

–1.9

0.8

July-24

-4.6

5.1

–15.6

22.0

18.3

2.2

3.0

Consumer price index
(% year-on-year change)

1.7

0.7

–0.4

2.7

7.5

3.0

2.2

August-24

1.7

0.7

-0.3

3.1

8.4

3.5

2.3

                   

Labour market

Registered workers affiliated to Social Security
(% year-on-year change)

–2.5

3.7

-1.3

2.7

4.7

3.9

3.0

September-24

-3.1

3.2

-2.1

2.5

3.9

2.7

2.3

Registered workers affiliated to Social Security not affected by furlough
(ERTE in Spanish) (% year-on-year change)

–2.5

3.7

–8.5

7.9

7.6

4.6

3.1

September-24

-3.1

3.2

–9.2

7.3

7.3

3.4

2.5

Unemployment rate
(% working population)

15.5

14.6

12.5

11.7

11.2

10.0

8.5

Q2 2024

20.2

18.8

15.5

14.9

13.0

12.2

11.3

Unemployment rate for under 25s
(% working population < 25)

37.7

38.0

31.8

29.5

27.8

27.3

18.1

Q2 2024

42.5

42.5

38.3

44.5

24.4

28.8

26.6

                   

Public sector

Public deficit
(% of GDP)

–1.2

-0.7

0.0

0.3

-0.8

-0.7

–0.9

Q2 2024

–2.7

–0.9

-0.2

0.0

–1.1

–0.9

–1.0

Autonomous Communities public debt
(% of GDP)

8.0

14.0

15.7

14.3

13.0

12.3

12.8

Q2 2024

12.3

23.9

26.9

25.3

23.1

21.7

21.9

                   

Real estate market

Housing prices
(% year-on-year change)

–9.2

8.4

1.7

2.5

6.8

3.9

7.2

Q2 2024

–8.1

5.3

2.1

3.7

7.4

4.0

7.8

Housing sales
(% cumulative annual change)

–6.9

10.0

–18.5

38.3

3.2

–16.2

–3.4

July-24

–10.8

9.7

–16.9

34.8

14.8

–10.2

-1.3

                   

Foreign sector and tourism

Exports of goods
(% cumulative annual change)

7.1

2.4

-5.5

35.3

48.2

–12.7

–12.7

July-24

4.6

3.9

–9.4

20.1

22.9

–1.4

–0.9

Tourist overnight stays
(% cumulative annual change)

0.9

5.7

–68.6

68.5

68.7

12.7

6.8

August-24

0.7

3.0

–69.2

78.3

73.3

7.1

5.0

Note: *The 2023 GDP figure for Autonomous Communities is an estimate made by CaixaBank Research.

Source: CaixaBank Research, based on data from the National Statistics Institute (INE), the Bank of Spain, the Ministry of Labour, Migration and Social Security (MITRAMISS), the Ministry of Finance and DataComex.

Regional comparison

Below we show a series of charts comparing the main indicators for the various regions.

Regional comparison

Last actualization: 14 November 2024 - 08:30

 

 

 

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